Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.103651 0.119885 0.137612 0.158375 0.181999 0.208010 0.238789
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.082767 0.105142 0.131699 0.165422 0.206969 0.256340 0.319301
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.064126 0.088676 0.120081 0.162919 0.219507 0.291335 0.388992
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.054818 0.081710 0.118451 0.171784 0.246584 0.347002 0.491099
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045912 0.073356 0.113188 0.174377 0.264955 0.392803 0.585240
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.037513 0.064004 0.104698 0.170602 0.273144 0.424668 0.662870
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.031405 0.056956 0.098326 0.168646 0.283136 0.459465 0.747674
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.028596 0.054746 0.099090 0.177724 0.310893 0.523438 0.882646
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026031 0.052453 0.099254 0.185600 0.337278 0.587476 1.023500
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.021929 0.046601 0.092314 0.180151 0.340310 0.613474 1.104491
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019051 0.042557 0.087980 0.178614 0.349659 0.650468 1.206675
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.016178 0.037992 0.081949 0.173001 0.350758 0.672896 1.285194
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013964 0.034472 0.077557 0.170159 0.357061 0.705854 1.386833
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012640 0.032676 0.076409 0.173625 0.375854 0.763379 1.538440
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010823 0.029391 0.071606 0.168855 0.377691 0.789134 1.633005
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010183 0.028829 0.072692 0.176796 0.406334 0.869063 1.838006
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009209 0.027235 0.071185 0.178785 0.422618 0.925947 2.002635
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007989 0.024752 0.067198 0.174562 0.424937 0.954689 2.113292
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007046 0.022827 0.064259 0.172371 0.431428 0.992470 2.245337
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.006765 0.022735 0.065927 0.181523 0.464686 1.089591 2.508701
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006441 0.022457 0.067067 0.189491 0.495974 1.184984 2.775648
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.005592 0.020387 0.063094 0.183903 0.494343 1.207891 2.887901
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.004999 0.019000 0.060779 0.182319 0.502239 1.252675 3.051569